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Summer 2004
Published by: SPESFEED (Pty) Ltd, P O Box 48, Rivonia, 2128. Tel: (011) 803-2050, Fax: (011) 803-8201
General
News
Our industry has been thrown
into a bit of a tizz this year. The
ever changing crop estimates for maize in particular have meant that many
producers took forward cover on maize at what then seemed to be good prices,
only to find that they had overpaid by some margin.
I echo the sentiments of Dr Johan Willemse (Landbou Weekblad), that it is
essential that both buyers and sellers of maize need accurate crop estimates.
In fairness though, it was a most unusual season and in all likelihood no
estimates would have been accurate. The good news is that the meat
prices have held steady. The egg
industry was doing well going into the traditional spring price slump until the
AI induced export ban hit us. Although
the quantities of eggs we export are not high, considerably more eggs go into
our neighbouring countries than is often appreciated and it only takes a percent
or two of oversupply to create a surplus. Courses
Journals
As
many of you will know, I am a dedicated web surfer.
I have recently come across two journals that may be of interest to you.
The first is the “International Journal of Poultry Science”
http://pjbs.org/ijps/.
This is relatively new journal covering all aspects of poultry
production. Complete articles are
downloadable. Secondly,
a Brazilian publication called “Revista Brasileira de Ciência Avícola” http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php/script_sci_serial/pid_1516-635X/lng_en/nrm_iso
has appeared. All papers are
available in English and the journal gives some valuable insight into the work
being carried out by one of the world’s poultry giants. I would remind you all that both “Poultry Science” and the “Journal of Applied Poultry Research” are available at www.poultryscience.org
GIPA/FAO Conference Tunisia
Dr Andrew Speedy, who is the Senior Officer (Feed and
Animal Nutrition) of the FAO set the scene for the meeting with a simple but
hard hitting paper in which he told the delegates that if the North African
poultry industry was ever to sell poultry product into I feel certain that there is a message for South African
producers of agricultural products, and particularly for the animal production
industry. Most of our fruit farmers
for example, already meet the European standards for fruit imports.
There is no reason why we should not do the same in the poultry industry. Much of the
meeting was taken up with discussions about poultry politics, and what role
government should or should not play in future. In broad terms it was clear that
governments in I presented a paper on feed formulation – beyond the use
of linear programming. I will
include some parts of this paper in the next edition of SPESFEED News.
In addition, there were a number of other presentations that were of
interest to me. Prof. Maria Urdaci,
from Rick Kleyn Poultry
Litter Banned as Cattle Feed In
a January 26, 2004 press release, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
announced several new public health measures to be implemented to strengthen the
existing ‘’firewalls’’ that protect consumers from the agent believed to
cause "Mad Cow Disease" or bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) and
to help prevent the spread of BSE in U.S. cattle herds. The FDA stated that the
new safeguards are science-based and intended to further bolster existing
prevention efforts and to strengthen FDA's 1997 animal feed rule. These ingredients are, however,
prohibited in ruminant feed. The FDA is concerned that spilled poultry feed as a
component of poultry litter will be collected and fed to ruminants, posing a
potential risk of BSE infection. Prior to this announcement, no federal laws or
regulations have controlled the sale or use of poultry litter as a ruminant feed
ingredient. Broiler litter has
been a good feed source for cattle during the winter or times of drought,
particularly for brood cows and stocker cattle. Benefits of its use as
cattle feed have included: 1)
environmental protection via responsible use of an animal by-product, 2)
increased sale value of the by-product for poultry producers, and 3) economic
benefit for production of beef cattle as a low-cost feed source. Despite these
benefits, however, the feeding of poultry litter is not a widespread practice.
It is estimated that less then 1% of the total amount of poultry litter
generated in the Whilst the chances of ruminants becoming BSE-positive from
the consumption of poultry litter is highly unlikely, many in the industry have
anticipated this ban for quite some time. Public misconceptions concerning the
feeding of poultry litter coupled with heightened anxiety over BSE has now
compelled FDA to enact this rule, despite over 40 years of use without any
evidence of diminished safety of beef products or harmful effects in humans. Since high quality
poultry litter is usually much more valuable as a feed than fertilizer, the loss
of this practice will affect the nutrient management planning efforts and cattle
feeding programs of many farmers nationwide. Casey Ritz Pantothenic
Acid and Carcass Composition in Pigs However,
much of the research upon which these vitamin requirements are based was
conducted in the 1950’s and 60’s. Since that time, pigs have become more
efficient meat producing animals with an ability to grow more rapidly and to
produce more proteinaceous tissue per kg of body weight gain.
Stahly et al. (1995) have shown
that higher concentrations of one or more of group of five B vitamins niacin,
pantothenic acid, riboflavin, B12, and folic acid) are needed to optimize rate
and efficiency of growth in a high vs. moderate lean strain of pig. These
results indicate that the dietary need for some vitamins may vary among pigs
differing in their capacity for proteinaceous tissue growth. Some
vitamins may also elicit metabolic effects that potentially alter the
composition in addition to the rate of body growth. The dietary concentration of
pantothenic acid may therefore affect protein and fat accretion rates in the
pig. Previous research lends credence to this hypothesis because additions of
pantothenic acid or its metabolites have been shown to have lipid-mediating
effects (Stahly and Lutz, 2000; Cupo and Donaldson, 1986; Naruta and Buko,
2001). With
the knowledge that certain B vitamins are needed at higher concentrations by
today's modern genetic strains of pigs and the evidence in the literature that
pantothenic acid may be an important vitamin involved in modifying body
composition, two experiments were conducted with the objective of determining
the efficacy of pantothenic acid as a modifier of body composition in pigs. Pantothenic acid
additions did not alter daily body weight gain, feed intake or the efficiency of
feed utilization in pigs growing from 10 to 115 kg BW. However, dietary PA
additions did alter body composition. Specifically, dietary PA addition resulted
in carcasses with less backfat (off midline backfat at the tenth rib) and larger
longissimus muscle area at the tenth rib (Table 1). Consequently, the percentage
of estimated fat-free lean in the carcasses also increased quadratically as
dietary PA additions increased (Table 1).
aQuadratic
effect of PA, P < .05. bQuadratic
effect of PA, P = .06. The
current NRC (1998) estimates of the dietary
Dietary PA
addition up to 45 ppm resulted in linear reductions in carcass backfat as well
as an increase in carcass lean content. Panthothenic acid additions reduce body
fat accretion and support more of the economically valuable proteinaceous tissue
to be accrued. Pantothenic acid additions also have the ability to alter
nutritive value of pork muscle by increasing pantothenic acid content of the
edible muscle. Based on these data, pantothenic acid at dietary
concentrations above that needed to maximize BW gain is an efficacious modifier
of body lean content of pigs. The modifications in carcass lean induced by PA
have also been found to be detectable using the measurement systems used in
commercial pork processing systems. These findings demonstrate that pantothenic
acid represents an effective and economical modifier of body composition in
pigs. T.R. Lutz,
B.A Autrey, and T.S. Stahly A.S. Leaflet R1955, Alternative
Poultry Production Systems I
was recently asked to do a talk on drug-free broiler production in Before starting on any discussion about the production of drug-free broilers, it would bea good idea to remember the market in which we operate. The vast majority of South African
A
few smaller producers have managed to fill the ‘niche’ market for
‘green’ poultry products, but it must be remembered that if you are not
competitive in a ‘niche’ market, it does not remain a ‘niche’ for very
long. Smaller producers often struggle to
compete, both financially and in terms of production (multi-age farms). Their
lives are further complicated by the fact that the larger retail chains have an
active policy of dealing with a few larger key players in each market sector. Some
larger producers have investigated the production of ‘green’ poultry
products and some are indeed producing them. In
reality, they are probably cross subsidising alternative production systems to
keep their larger clients happy, and even then they have not always found this
an attractive market to enter. Two
issues immediately spring to mind. Firstly, far more ‘green’ birds are sold
than are produced. No clear standards exist,
and it often happens that the smaller grocers and or poultry producers do not
adhere to the standards demanded by the larger retailers. In order for the
system to gain credibility in the market place, we would need standards, a
regulatory authority and a means of tracking (traceability) the entire process.
This may not be as much of an issue as it seems, but if people cut
corners, it makes it very hard for the honest producers to compete.
Secondly,
are South African consumers prepared to pay more for ‘green’ products?
Experience in the egg market suggests not. When one looks at broiler production in
On the other hand,
drug-free poultry production is characterised by higher mortalities, reduced
growth rates and feed conversion efficiencies, and in many cases gut health
problems such as Necrotic Enteritis (NE). Experience
from
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Days
of Age |
Control
Chickens1
|
In ovo-fed Chickens2 |
%
Difference |
|
Hatch |
48.9 ± 0.7b |
52.6 ± 0.7a |
+7.6 |
|
3 |
69.3 ± 0.9b |
74.8 ± 0.7a |
+7.9 |
|
7 |
129.0 ± 2.1b |
134.6 ± 1.8a |
+4.3 |
|
10 |
156.3 ± 2.9b |
161.7 ± 2.7a |
+3.5 |
|
35 |
1523.0 ± 21.6b |
1591.0 ± 24.7a |
+4.5 |
Peter
R. Ferket & Uni Zehava
Data Mining in Animal Agriculture
Data mining is a popular concept in business in general and marketing in particular. Data mining software allows users to analyze large databases to solve business decision problems. Data mining is, in some ways, an extension of statistics, with a few artificial intelligence and machine learning twists thrown in.
Like statistics, data mining is not a business solution, it is just a technology. In broad terms, data mining tools can answer business questions that traditionally were too time consuming to resolve. They scour databases for hidden patterns, finding predictive information that experts may miss because it lies outside their expectations.
In
animal agriculture, companies are beginning to develop large databases, which
contain much valuable information. This
data represents a real opportunity for the analysis of trends and practices such
as the feeding program used, vaccination and medication programs used and even
genotype data. In order to get the
most out of the system it is important that these items be recorded in the
database.
Data
mining in business systems makes used of a number of advanced mathematical
techniques. These could include
artificial neural networks, genetic algorithms and rule induction.
Although we may think that our
databases are large, in computing terms they are small when compared to the
number of credit card transactions a bank processes in a day for example.
We can therefore use relatively simple techniques such as the statistical
functionality of Excel or a statistical package such as Minitab.
As an example of just how much
information is to be found in such a database,
I have used simple regression analysis on a large broiler database to
show how good or poor PEF and FCR are as a means of predicting profitability.
Firstly, I have used PEF to
predict the margin (sale of the bird) over feed cost, relative to PEF.
As can be seen the R2 value is 0.7654 which is reasonable.

We
know that Margin over Feed cost does not examine all aspects of profitability.
To do this one need to use the Unit Profit (UP) system, which calculates
to return per meter squared, per day of a broiler house.
Here the prediction is poorer. With
an R2 value of 0.5 it can be seen that PEF is a poorer predictor of UP than
margin.
Many
people still place great importance on the Feed Conversion.
When I regressed UP against FCR, the fit was particularly poor with an R2
of only 0.3182.
All of the above examples were calculated at an average feed price of R
2000/ton and a selling price of live broilers of R 8.00/kg.
When I improved the feed price ratio through the simple expedient of
increasing the selling price to R 12.00/kg, the R2 value in each example
dropped. For example the UP vs PEF
value dropped to 0.34. This means
that PEF is only 34% reliable os a predictor of profitability in a broiler
operation, something that I have long suspected but have never been able to
prove.
Rick Kleyn
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Animal
Nutrition Consultants
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